Buyers and sellers are still waiting for the right time to jump in
Another mortgage rate drop could be just what prospective borrowers need to get back into the housing market.
Nine basis points - how much the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage (FRM) fell by as of Thursday. Freddie Mac’s Primary Mortgage Market Survey indicated the 30-year FRM averaged 6.35% on August 29, down from 6.46% last week. The 15-year FRM averaged 5.51%, down from last week when it averaged 5.62%.
"Mortgage rates fell again this week due to expectations of a Fed rate cut,” Freddie Mac’s Chief Economist Sam Khater said. “Rates are expected to continue their decline and while potential homebuyers are watching closely, a rebound in purchase activity remains elusive until we see further declines."
Pending home sales fell 6.9% during the four weeks ending August 25, the biggest annual decline in nearly a year according to this report from Redfin.
“I expect more buyers and sellers to jump into the market in a few months, once everyone has a better understanding of how the new NAR rules will play out in actual real-estate deals,” said Fernanda Kriese, a Redfin Premier agent in Las Vegas. “The election and the drop in mortgage rates are also delaying buyers; a lot of them are waiting on the sidelines until November, hoping to get a lower rate and maybe more homes to choose from.”
Potential sellers are also staying on the sidelines, with 85.7% of U.S. mortgagees boasting an interest rate below 6%. That’s down from 90.6% at the start of last year and a record high of 92.8% in mid-2022, according to a report from Redfin.
“I have a dozen or so homeowners who would like to sell, but aren’t willing to give up their 3% interest rate for one that’s more than twice as high,” said Blakely Minton, a Redfin Premier real estate agent in Philadelphia. “Many of those sellers will list if rates get back down to 5%.”
A year ago at this time, the 30-year FRM averaged 7.18%, and the 15-year FRM averaged 6.55%.