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Credit Delinquencies Begin to Show Improvement

NationalMortgageProfessional.com
Oct 01, 2013

According to Equifax's latest National Consumer Credit Trends Report, the total outstanding balances on auto and credit card loans increased year-over-year in August 2013. For bank-issued credit cards, it is the first time in five years that balances increased in two consecutive months, while retail card balances have notched 24 consecutive months of year-over-year growth. The total balance of existing auto loans is at its highest level in more than five-years. Year-over-year changes in balances August 2012-2013 include: ►Auto: increased 9.7 percent (from $760.8 billion to $834.4 billion); ►Bank credit card: increased 0.2 percent (from $537.0 billion to $537.8 billion); and ►Retail credit card: increased 7.0 percent (from $51.9 billion to $55.9 billion) In addition, auto and credit card portfolios are the only two major segments in which rising balances accompany improving delinquency rates. Year-over-year changes in the 60-day plus delinquency rates, as a percentage of total balances outstanding, include: ►Auto: decreased more than 10 percent (from 1.28 percent to 1.14 percent); ►Bank credit card: decreased more than 13 percent (from 2.10 percent to 1.81 percent); and ►Retail credit card: decreased 0.9 percent (from 3.37 percent to 3.34 percent) "Our data consistently indicates that the American consumer is being very disciplined in their use of credit. It's like they've gone on a debt-diet and they are really sticking to it, with modest increases in line with capacity to repay," said Equifax Chief Economist Amy Crews Cutts. "If we exclude student loans, total consumer debt is down 15 percent from its peak and delinquency rates outside of home loans and student loans are back to pre-recession levels. Economic conditions are causing the lingering high default rates on student loans and mortgages, and hopefully we will see those improve more quickly in coming months." Other highlights from the most recent Equifax data include: Home finance ►The total balance of first mortgages in August 2013 is $7.7 trillion, a decrease of 1.2 percent from same time a year ago; ►The total balance of first mortgage severely delinquencies (90-days past due or in foreclosure) is $300 billion, a decrease of more than 28 percent from same time a year ago and a five-year low; ►In August 2013, the total balance of home equity revolving loans is $500.4 billion, a decrease of 7.4 percent from same time a year ago and a five-year low. Similarly, the total number of loans outstanding in August is 10.5 million, a five-year low; ►The total balance of severely delinquent home equity revolving loans in August 2013 is less than $9 billion, a decrease of 25 percent from same time a year ago and a five-year low; and ►The total balance of home equity installment loans is $136.7 billion, a decrease of 4.2 percent from same time a year ago, while the total number of loans outstanding is four million, a five-year low. Auto ►The total number of loans outstanding in August 2013 is more than 61 million, a 57-month high; By source, loans funded by banks, savings and loans or credit unions are at $401.7 billion, while the total number of loans is 29.5 million — a five-year high for both; ►The total outstanding balance for loans funded by auto finance companies is $432.7 billion, a 56-month high, while the total number of existing loans is more than 31.8 million, its highest level in 54-months; and ►The total balance of auto loan originations year-to-date in June 2013 is 237.6 billion, an increase of nearly 15 percent from same time a year ago and the most new credit originated for that time period in more than eight years. Bank-issued credit card ►At $93.3 billion, the total limit of new credit issued between January-June 2013 is a five-year high for that year-to-date period and an increase of more than 68 percent over the recession low of $55.5 billion for the same time during 2010; ►The total number of new loans year-to-date in June 2013 is 20.1 million, a five-year high and an increase of 6.3 percent from same time a year ago; ►The total number of existing loans is more than 310 million, a 43-month high; and ►The total bank card credit limit is more than $2.4 trillion, a 43-month high. Retail-issued credit card ►At $34.2 billion, the total limit of new credit issued through June of 2013 is an increase of nearly 33% over the recession low of $25.8 billion for the first six months of 2010; ►18 million new loans were issued between January-June 2013, the highest since 2008, and an increase of more than seven percent over the same period last year; ►Year-to-date lending through June to subprime credit borrowers, defined as those with Equifax Risk scores below 660, increased at a rate of 15 percent over the same time a year ago. 5.9 million loans were originated, the highest in five years; ►The total number of existing loans is more than 180 million; and ►The total retail card credit limit is nearly $350 billion.
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