Analysis and Data
Table stakes are rising for mortgage lenders ahead of 2025, as policy pivots loom and sales forecasts are adjusted
Yet, dramatic revisions to Fannie Mae forecasts for 2025 signal more difficult mortgage conditions ahead
Conventional, FHA loans drive increase in purchase applications
Recent mortgage rate volatility is a reminder that high financing costs still restrain a broader housing recovery
'Price growth seems poised to maintain a steady, balanced pace'
Sales optimism at a two-and-a-half-year peak reflects builders' belief that an administration change “will result in significant regulatory relief for the industry,” the NAHB Chair said.
The average rejection rate for mortgage applications increased by 8.6 percentage points to 20.7% in 2024, well above the 2019 rate of 10.2%.
74% of homeowners and renters struggle to afford monthly payments
Early homebuying activity has reached its highest level in year-and-a-half
Yet, the 15.5% of canceled purchase contracts was the highest cancellation rate in a year, reflecting the razor-thin affordability margins.