Nationwide Shadow Inventory Drops to Levels Last Seen in 2008 – NMP Skip to main content

Nationwide Shadow Inventory Drops to Levels Last Seen in 2008

NationalMortgageProfessional.com
Jun 14, 2012

CoreLogic has reported that the current residential shadow inventory as of April 2012 fell to 1.5 million units, representing a supply of four months. This was a 14.8 percent drop from April 2011, when shadow inventory stood at 1.8 million units, or a six-months' supply, which is approximately the same level as the country was experiencing in October 2008. Currently, the flow of new seriously delinquent (90 days or more) loans into the shadow inventory has been approximately offset by the equal volume of distressed (short and real estate-owned) sales. CoreLogic estimates the current stock of properties in the shadow inventory, also known as pending supply, by calculating the number of distressed properties that are seriously delinquent, in foreclosure and held as REO by mortgage servicers but not currently listed on multiple listing services (MLSs). Transition rates of "delinquency to foreclosure" and "foreclosure to REO" are used to identify the currently distressed non-listed properties most likely to become REO properties. Properties that are not yet delinquent but may become delinquent in the future are not included in the estimate of the current shadow inventory. Shadow inventory is typically not included in the official metrics of unsold inventory. "Since peaking at 2.1 million units in January 2010, the shadow inventory has fallen by 28 percent. The decline in the shadow inventory is a positive development because it removes some of the downward pressure on house prices," said Mark Fleming, chief economist for CoreLogic. "This is one of the reasons why some markets that were formerly identified as deeply distressed, like Arizona, California and Nevada, are now experiencing price increases." Highlights of CoreLogics's latest study include: ►As of April 2012, shadow inventory fell to 1.5 million units, or four-month supply and represented just over half of the 2.8 million properties currently seriously delinquent, in foreclosure or REO. The four-month supply of shadow inventory is at its lowest level in nearly three years. It parallels the unsold months' supply of non-distressed active listings that hit a more than five-year low in April, falling to a 6.5-months' from a 9.1-months' supply just a year ago. ►Of the 1.5 million properties currently in the shadow inventory, 720,000 units are seriously delinquent (two months' supply), 410,000 are in some stage of foreclosure (1.1-months' supply) and 390,000 are already in REO (1.1-months' supply). ►The dollar volume of shadow inventory was $246 billion as of April 2012, down from $270 billion a year ago and a three-year low. ►Serious delinquencies, which are the main driver of the shadow inventory, declined the most in Arizona (-37.0 percent), California (-28.0 percent), Nevada (-27.4 percent), Michigan (-23.7 percent) and Minnesota (-18.1 percent).  
Published
Jun 14, 2012
Manufactured Housing: The New Affordable Alternative

While the housing market is grappling with widespread affordability and supply, manufactured homes are gaining ground as a new alternative. 

Industry News
Dec 03, 2021
Angel Oak Home Loans Opens 3 New Branches

Continues expansion in Western U.S. with new branches in California, Nevada & Utah.

Industry News
Dec 02, 2021
Open Mortgage Names New President

Joe Stephenson, formerly of American Advisors Group, to lead daily operations.

Industry News
Dec 01, 2021
Homepoint Expands Refinance Program Offerings

Now offers Freddie Mac’s new refinance option, Refi Possible, making it easier for many homeowners with a Freddie Mac-owned mortgage to reduce their interest rate.

Industry News
Nov 30, 2021
Non-QM Lender Deephaven Hires Business Development VP

Dallas-based Tim Fisher charged with growing Deephaven’s correspondent business In Texas and surrounding states

Industry News
Nov 30, 2021
Biden Reappoints Powell As Federal Reserve Chairman

A signal that The Fed will continue its policies as inflation surges and economic uncertainty spikes due to an emerging variant of the coronavirus. 

Industry News
Nov 29, 2021