Lower Interest Rates Spark California Home Sales in June

July 16, 2014

Lower interest rates and stabilizing home prices combined to boost home sales in June, according to the California Association of Realtors (CAR). However, diminished home affordability remains a challenge for buyers, particularly in high-cost areas of the state.
Closed escrow sales of existing, single-family detached homes in California totaled a seasonally adjusted annualized rate of 394,930 units in June, according to information collected by CAR from more than 90 local Realtor associations and MLSs statewide. June marked the eighth straight month that sales were below the 400,000 level and the 11th straight decline on a year-over-year basis. Sales in June increased 1.5 percent from a revised 389,060 in May, but were down 4.8 percent from a revised 414,830 in June 2013. The statewide sales figure represents what would be the total number of homes sold during 2014 if sales maintained the June pace throughout the year.  It is adjusted to account for seasonal factors that typically influence home sales.
“While June home sales rose at the statewide level, the market is still constrained by tight supply and low housing affordability in areas of high demand, where job growth is robust and international buyers have a strong presence,” said CAR President Kevin Brown. “Overall, however, with inventory improving and home sales slowly moving back up, the market is more balanced, and we could see further market normalization in the upcoming months as interest rates remain at the lowest levels we’ve seen so far this year.”
The statewide median price of an existing, single-family detached home slipped two percent from May’s median price of $466,320 to $457,160 but was up 6.6 percent from the revised $428,700 recorded in June 2013. The statewide median home price has increased year over year for the previous 28 months, marking more than two full years of consecutive year-over-year price increases. The median sales price is the point at which half of homes sold for more and half sold for less; it is influenced by the types of homes selling as well as a general change in values.
“Home prices are finally increasing at a healthier pace, and the smallest year-over-year price gain in more than two years suggests that prices are stabilizing,” said CAR Vice President and Chief Economist Leslie Appleton-Young. “Last year’s frenzied market of multiple offers, which drove sales prices above listing prices, has tapered off as the sales-to-list price ratio has dropped to a more normal level at nearly 99 percent, which signals a return to a more balanced market.”
Other key facts from CAR’s June 2014 resale housing report include:
►Housing inventory edged slightly higher in June, with the available supply of existing, single-family detached homes for sale increasing from 3.6 months in May to 3.7 months in June. The index was 2.9 months in June 2013. The index indicates the number of months needed to sell the supply of homes on the market at the current sales rate. A six- to seven-month supply is considered typical in a normal market.
►The median number of days it took to sell a single-family home also rose in June, up from 31.6 days in May to 33.9 days in June and up from 27.8 days in June 2013.
►Mortgage rates dipped in June, with the 30-year, fixed-mortgage interest rate averaging 4.16 percent, down from 4.19 percent in May but up from 4.07 percent in June 2013, according to Freddie Mac. Adjustable-mortgage interest rates in June averaged 2.40 percent, down from 2.43 percent in May and down from 2.60 percent in June 2013.

Originations, Residential, Marketing, Trends