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Single-Family Rental Market Remains Strong in Q3
Oct 02, 2014
Nearly 14 percent of Americans living in rental housing possess the credit scores and incomes to afford buying the median home in their markets, according to a new analysis released by Zillow

RealtyTrac has released its third quarter 2014 Residential Property Rental Report, which ranks the best markets for buying residential rental properties. RealtyTrac analyzed median sales prices for residential properties and average fair market rents for three bedroom properties in 586 U.S. counties with a combined population of 218 million people—71 percent of the total U.S. population. Rental returns were calculated using annual gross rental yields: The average fair market rent of three-bedroom homes in each county, annualized, and divided by the median sales price of residential properties in the third quarter.

The 586-county analysis found that investors buying U.S. residential rental property in the third quarter of 2014 are getting an average annual return of 9.06 percent, down from an average annual return of 9.65 percent for the third quarter of 2013.

Median home prices in the 586 counties analyzed in the report increased more than seven percent on average in the third quarter of 2014 compared to a year ago, while average fair market rents for three-bedroom homes increased an average of less than one percent.

In these counties on average 33 percent of the housing units were renter-occupied and 67 percent were owner-occupied. The average rental vacancy rates in these counties were 7.4 percent compared to a national average of 8.7 percent as of the end of 2012.

“The single family rental market is still strong, with returns averaging nine percent in the 586 counties analyzed,” said Daren Blomquist, vice president at RealtyTrac. “Even so, the market is softening, with those same 586 counties averaging a nearly 10 percent return a year ago.

“In the high-risk, high-yield markets, where unemployment and vacancy rates are higher than national averages, the average return was a whopping 19 percent, actually up from a year ago thanks to a strong increase in rental rates,” Blomquist said. “Home prices, meanwhile, were more volatile in the high-risk, high-yield markets, with three out of the 16 posting double-digit percentage decreases in median home prices from a year ago.”
Top 10 markets for rental returns
Edgecombe County, N.C., in the Rocky Mount metro area had the highest annual gross rental yield among the 586 counties analyzed, 41.57 percent, followed by Clayton County, Ga., in the Atlanta metro area (26.88 percent annual gross rental yield), Duplin County, N.C., (24.40 percent annual gross rental yield), Howard County, Ind., in the Kokomo metro area (24.00 percent), and Putnam County, Fla., in the Palatka metro area.

The remainder of the top 10 markets included three other Florida counties (Columbia, Pasco and Hernando) along with another Atlanta-area county (Spalding) and Wayne County, Mich., in the Detroit metro area.

10 markets with lowest rental returns
New York County, N.Y. (Manhattan) ranked lowest among the 586 counties with an annual gross rental yield of 2.40 percent, followed by San Francisco County (3.16 percent annual gross rental yield), Kings County, N.Y. (Brooklyn, 3.64 percent), Williamson County, Tenn., in the Nashville metro area (3.73 percent), and Marin County, Calif., also in the San Francisco metro area (3.75 percent).
The remainder of the bottom 10 markets for annual gross rental yield included three other Northern California counties (Santa Clara, San Mateo and Santa Cruz), along with Westchester County in the New York City metro area and Eagle County, Colo., in the Edwards metro area.

16 high-risk, high-yield hotspots for single-family rentals
RealtyTrac identified 16 counties as high-risk, high-yield hot spots for single family rental investing. In these counties the unemployment rate was above the national average of 6.2 percent in July 2014 and the rental vacancy rate was above the national average of 8.7 percent as of the end of 2012, but all these counties had an annual gross rental yield of 14 percent or higher.

Topping the high risk, high yield hotspots were Edgecombe, N.C. in the Rocky Mount metro area (41.57 percent annual gross rental yield), Clayton and Spalding counties in the Atlanta metro area (26.88 percent and 20.35 percent), Duplin County, N.C. (24.40 percent) and Wayne County, Mich., in the Detroit metro area (19.88 percent).

Other metro areas with counties on the high risk, high yield list included Lake City, Fla., Tampa, Fla., Sebring, Fla., Baltimore Md., Syracuse, N.Y., Vineland, N.J., Lancaster, S.C., Hickory, N.C., Gaffney, S.C., Mobile, Ala., and Macon, Ga.

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