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Mortgages Rates Inch Back Toward Four Percent Mark

Sep 04, 2015

Freddie Mac has released the results of its Primary Mortgage Market Survey (PMMS), showing the average fixed-rate mortgage (FRM) ticking higher amid another week of volatile market activity on essentially no new information, with the 30-year FRM averaging 3.89 percent with an average 0.6 point for the week ending Sept. 3, 2015, up last week when it averaged 3.84 percent. A year ago at this time, the 30-year FRM averaged 4.10 percent. The 15-year FRM this week averaged 3.09 percent with an average 0.6 point, up from last week when it averaged 3.06 percent. A year ago at this time, the 15-year FRM averaged 3.24 percent. 

"'Fasten your seat belts. It's going to be a bumpy night,' said Bette Davis in All About Eve," said Sean Becketti, chief economist, Freddie Mac. "That could just as well have been Janet Yellen, or a specialist at the New York Stock Exchange, or the head of the People's Bank of China on yet another week with lots of volatility on essentially no new information."

The five-year Treasury-indexed hybrid adjustable-rate mortgage (ARM) averaged 2.93 percent this week with an average 0.4 point, up from last week when it averaged 2.90 percent. A year ago, the five-year ARM averaged 2.97 percent. The one-year Treasury-indexed ARM averaged 2.62 percent this week with an average 0.3 point, unchanged from last week. At this time last year, the one-year ARM averaged 2.40 percent. 

"The 30-year mortgage rate increased five basis points, but don't read too much into that," said Becketti. "The Fed took great pains at the Jackson Hole conference to keep all their options open and to avoid making too muchor too littleof the situation in China and the volatility in global equity markets. This Friday's employment report is the last piece of significant, solid evidence the FOMC will have to consider before their September decision. The Street appears to be calling it a coin flip. There won't be a clear direction for mortgage rates until the Fed makes its September decision, at the earliest."

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