Yellen Signals a Rate Hike is Imminent – NMP Skip to main content

Yellen Signals a Rate Hike is Imminent

Dec 02, 2015

Federal Reserve Chairwoman Janet Yellen gave her clearest clue to date that the central bank is ready raise interest rates.

Speaking today before the Economic Club of Washington, Yellen pointed to a stronger economy and an improved labor market as evidence that the nation is ready to move beyond near-zero interest rates.

"I currently judge that U.S. economic growth is likely to be sufficient over the next year or two to result in further improvement in the labor market," Yellen said, according to USA Today coverage of her speech. She added that the Fed was “reasonably confident that inflation" would move up to its annual two percent target over the medium-term.

While Yellen did not specifically promise a rate hike would occur at the next Fed meeting on December 15 and 16, she admitted that delaying a rate hike longer would be deleterious to the economy.

“Were the (Fed) to delay the start of policy normalization for too long, we would likely end up having to tighten policy relatively abruptly to keep the economy from significantly overshooting both of our goals,” she said, referring to a five percent unemployment rate and a two percent inflation rate. She also insisted that the continued failure to raise rates “could also encourage excessive risk-taking and thus undermine financial stability.”

Nonetheless, Yellen emphasized that a rate hike was not a question of “if,” but “when.”

“The economy has come a long way,” she added, stating that a rate increase would be a “testament, also, to how far the economy has come in recovering from the effects of the financial crisis and the Great Recession. In that sense, it is a day that I expect we are all looking forward to.”

About the author
Published
Dec 02, 2015
When AI Takes Action: New Federal Framework Raises Questions

New federal banking guidance examines the risks of autonomous AI, from borrower communications to servicing transactions, with a focus on human oversight and accountability

States Tighten Mortgage Rules For Home Equity Investments

Massachusetts, Maine, and Illinois are expanding oversight of home equity financing

West Capital LO Challenges Contractor Status, Required Fees

A former originator alleges unpaid overtime, recurring tech charges, and company restrictions that he says undermine his independent-contractor status

CFPB Closes 40% Of Investigations, Keeps Mortgage Enforcement In Focus

The federal watchdog closed thousands of supervisory and investigative matters as it narrowed oversight

Midterms Loom With Mortgage Policy Changes Already In Motion

As voters head to the polls Tuesday, Washington is weighing changes to refinancing costs, loan pricing, and lending regulations

UAD 3.6 Deadline Is Monday. Are Brokers Ready?

Wholesale lenders have adopted different rules for appraisal transfers, loan product changes, and reporting formats, adding complications for brokers and appraisers ahead of the Nov. 2 mandate