This summer, we have started what we hope is a long-term trend of mortgage rates decreasing. We have been waiting for this trend to start for quite a long time. The industry has endured waves of layoffs, company’s closing, and mergers during this era of higher rates. And with rates easing down, it is expected we will finally start growing again. That is very good news.
While we don’t expect the return of the pandemic induced boom times, we can expect a fairly robust refinance market, especially because rates have stayed higher for longer than we expected. Couple this with the additional detail that homeowners are sitting on a boatload of equity and will be ready to pare down debt or accomplish home improvements — we certainly can be more optimistic about the immediate future. We still have a long way to go, as we don’t expect rates to drop like a lead balloon — but the process has started.
Thus, we come back to the process of hiring. My guess is that there will be a host of “rebound” loan officers available when things get better. Today they may be working selling cars or bartending but like lemmings they will return when the call goes out. What you might want to remember is that these are the loan officers that did not make the cut when we did the cutting. That does not mean that they were not decent loan officers, but no one was getting rid of their cream of the crop when we cut back.