Success, in his view, stacks, slowly but powerfully, as you work, adapt, and persevere. “The more you do, the more you achieve, the more you fail and correct and then achieve, the more success that you create,” Middleman says. Each step contributes to the long-term outcome.
2. Live In Tomorrow
Stan Middleman doesn’t dwell on the present; he plans for what’s coming. “If you’re thinking about today all the time, tomorrow you end up with a bunch of yesterdays that are empty,” he says. “If you’re thinking about tomorrow, you can actually build an outcome.”
That mindset is central to how Middleman runs Freedom Mortgage. “If you’re thinking about today, you’re kind of getting what you get … you’re dealing with what happens to you, not what you are making happen,” he explains. In contrast, thinking about the future gives you a premise and a plan — something to act on, revise, and improve as you go.
Not every plan works. But planning gives you a head start. “When things don’t go your way, you can alter your plan along the journey,” he says. “Rather than, okay, my journey is today, this is coming at me, that’s coming at me, which am I gonna catch?”
Middleman points to the fall of Sears as a case study in failing to think ahead. “There’s not much difference between how Amazon does business today and the way Sears did business in 1890,” he notes. “They were a catalog store … they delivered to you before there was such a thing as delivery.” Sears adapted once — turning into a department store — but failed to adapt again when retail shifted online. “They didn’t make that change.”
His takeaway? Don’t let today trap you. “If you’re thinking about what’s next … you can react to all those things that happen, review what the outcome was, and then create a new plan based on what happened previously.”
That forward-looking mindset directly informed some of his most consequential business decisions. Middleman’s revelation about the value of servicing rights dates back to the 1990s. As pointed out in Seeing Around Corners, MSRs became “a good hedge against lower origination volumes” — the only natural hedge in a business deeply vulnerable to rate cycles.
Middleman built a system around that recognition. As Freedom Mortgage began to accumulate loans, Middleman realized he could enhance profitability not just by originating loans, but by retaining the servicing and selling it at the right time, often at a multiple of annual cash flow. He took an investor’s approach: treating MSRs as income-producing assets and strategically managing them within the firm’s portfolio. At times, he sold off MSRs to reinvest or rebalance; at others, he stockpiled them for the long game. That discipline of treating servicing as a core asset class helped Freedom survive downturns, rebound faster, and grow more sustainably.
By focusing early on this dual capability — origination and servicing — Middleman not only stabilized cash flow but positioned Freedom Mortgage for long-term growth in a volatile industry.
3. Plan Before The Storm Hits
Like living in tomorrow, Middleman’s approach to volatility is rooted in proactive preparation. “There’s always opportunities and there’s always challenges,” he says. The key isn’t to avoid trouble, it’s to expect it and be ready.
Middleman’s long-term view of the market includes what he calls “misery in the eights.” He’s seen major real estate corrections around 1988, 2008, and believes 2028 will follow the same pattern. “The previous peak becomes the next trough,” he explains. Values rise 30%, then fall back to that earlier high — a cycle he believes is repeating now.
This time, he says, the decline will likely begin with commercial office space. “You have a lot of excess office space that’s unused, and when you have a major asset class that corrects, generally the other asset classes go for the ride,” he warns.
The real threat isn’t just falling prices, but what happens when liquidity dries up. “That drives the value of all those investments down,” he says, pointing to how lenders pull back when asset values fall.
That’s why planning ahead matters. “If you saw it was cloudy out and you brought an umbrella and wore a raincoat … the rain probably just passes and it doesn’t bother you much,” Middleman says. But if you’re caught off guard, “you have a miserable day and may spend the next three weeks sick in bed.”
4. Stick To What Works
While many lenders chased high-risk, high-reward products during the housing boom, Stan Middleman stayed disciplined — a decision that likely saved Freedom Mortgage when the market collapsed.
“I never really got deeply into subprime,” he says. “I couldn’t really figure it out. I never really did the option ARMs ’cause I couldn’t really figure ’em out.”